In a seismic shift that could upend the 2024 presidential race, leaked internal polling data reveals Joe Biden is hurtling towards a landslide defeat. This stark revelation comes from a memo obtained by Puck News, which outlines the dramatic erosion of Biden’s support in key swing states and even traditionally safe Democratic strongholds.
The memo, crafted by OpenLabs—the research arm of the progressive political action committee Future Forward—paints a dire picture for the Biden campaign. The polling data, gathered just 72 hours after Biden’s disastrous debate performance, indicates a significant loss of support among voters who backed him in 2020. According to the poll, a staggering 40% of Biden’s 2020 voters now believe he should suspend his campaign. This marks a startling increase from a previous survey in May, where only about a quarter of his former supporters held that view.
Biden’s plummeting popularity is particularly pronounced among swing voters, a demographic crucial for any presidential victory. The poll shows that swing voters now favor Biden exiting the race by a two-to-one margin. This shift has translated into alarming state-by-state losses. In Pennsylvania—a state Biden frequently visits and claims as his home—he now trails former President Donald Trump by seven percentage points, down from five points before the debate. Similarly, in Michigan, Biden is trailing Trump by seven points.
These poll numbers are from Democrat firm OpenLabs.
These are THEIR numbers.
BRUTAL#TooBigToRig @EndWokeness pic.twitter.com/tLumhtJ9A5
— ULTRA TRUMPtastic MAGADONIAN for TRUMP ⭐️⭐️⭐️ (@jebbeess34) July 2, 2024
The situation is even grimmer in other pivotal states. OpenLabs found Biden trailing by ten points in Arizona and Georgia, and nearly nine points in Nevada. These numbers suggest a broader trend of declining support in battleground states, casting a long shadow over Biden’s re-election bid.
Moreover, the polling data reveals vulnerabilities in states previously considered safe for the Democrats. In Virginia, New Mexico, Maine, and Minnesota, Biden’s lead has dwindled to a mere fraction of a percentage point. Even in the blue state of Colorado, Biden leads by just two points. Perhaps most startlingly, Biden is trailing in New Hampshire, aligning with a new survey from Saint Anselm College that also places him behind in the Granite State.
Further compounding Biden’s woes, the poll included hypothetical matchups with other high-profile Democrats such as California Governor Gavin Newsom, Vice President Kamala Harris, Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. Every one of these potential replacement candidates polled better than Biden, indicating a deep-seated dissatisfaction within the Democratic base.
Despite the Biden campaign’s efforts to downplay the significance of these numbers, the internal memo’s findings are impossible to ignore. While a national poll shared by Biden’s top pollster Geoff Garin suggests a close race, the granular state-by-state analysis underscores a potentially catastrophic collapse in support.
As the 2024 election looms, this leaked polling data raises profound questions about Biden’s viability as a candidate. The numbers not only reflect a critical loss of confidence but also ignite intense debate over the future leadership of the Democratic Party. The implications of this polling memo are clear: without a significant turnaround, President Biden’s quest for a second term is on increasingly shaky ground.
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